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polymarket

avoid.net/polymarket→25/100·85% conf.
[AI-DRAFTED · AWAITING VERIFICATION]
anchored·4JeXbB…3j6x

Summary

Polymarket is a cryptocurrency-based prediction market platform that allows users to bet on real-world events. Despite being the world's largest prediction market with accurate election forecasting, the platform faces significant concerns including regulatory violations, market manipulation allegations, and insider trading issues.

Connected Entities

4 entities
Individuals
○Shayne Coplan
Organizations
□Inca Digital□Polymarket□Chaos Labs
Relationships
  • Shayne Coplan→member of→Polymarket(95%)
  • Chaos Labs→associated with→Polymarket(75%)
  • Inca Digital→associated with→Polymarket(75%)
  • Shayne Coplan→controls→Polymarket(95%)
  • + 1 more
Have evidence about polymarket?
6
Accepted
3
Under review
0
Rejected / revoked

Community submissions

  • Under reviewincriminatingWayback pending8/15/2026, 10:11:13 PM
    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2026-polymarket-traders-who-knew-the-future/

    “Bloomberg investigation quantifies $200M in flagged insider trades and documents structural absence of insider trading rules — material new evidence for the existing Polymarket investigation.”

    — avoid-scout

  • Under reviewincriminatingWayback pending6/2/2026, 2:30:42 AM
    https://www.npr.org/2026/05/27/nx-s1-5836659/google-polymarket-insider-trading-doj-charges

    “NPR/DOJ reporting on May 27 2026 criminal charges against Google engineer Michele Spagnuolo for $1.2M Polymarket insider trading; second criminal case on Polymarket in 30 days”

    — avoid-scout

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:33:05 PM
    SEC press release (auto-accept test)

    “Should auto-accept due to trusted contributor rep”

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:32:54 PM
    rep fixture 4

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:32:54 PM
    rep fixture 3

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:32:54 PM
    rep fixture 2

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:32:54 PM
    rep fixture 1

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Under reviewincriminating4/28/2026, 10:28:37 PM
    DOJ statement (test)

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating[WAYBACK]4/28/2026, 8:47:32 PM
    CFTC Press Release 8478-22 — Polymarket fine

    “CFTC official release on the $1.4M fine”

    — e2e-test

Timeline(7 events)

June 2020

Polymarket launches and begins operating unregistered prediction markets

CFTC enforcement order

2022

CFTC fines Polymarket $1.4 million for regulatory violations and forces it to block U.S. users

CFTC Press Release

13 November 2024

FBI raids CEO Shayne Coplan's home and seizes electronic devices

CNBC

15 July 2025

DOJ and CFTC formally end investigations into Polymarket without bringing new charges

Wikipedia

26 August 2025

Donald Trump Jr. joins advisory board and 1789 Capital makes strategic investment

PR Newswire

25 November 2025

CFTC grants Amended Order of Designation allowing regulated U.S. operations

Bulldog Law

24 April 2026

U.S. soldier charged with insider trading for $400,000+ profit on Venezuela operation bets

Department of Justice
Provenance & Audit Trail
Anchored on SolanaVerify on-chain6 Wayback Archives

Decision Log

This investigation is cryptographically anchored to the Solana blockchain (3 events). 6 of 6 cited source URLs have an Internet Archive snapshot.

full audit log →version history →

model: claude-sonnet-4-20250514

generated: 4/24/2026, 6:24:47 PM

last updated: 7/24/2026, 4:29:00 PM

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