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polymarket

avoid.net/polymarket→25/100·85% conf.
[AI-DRAFTED · AWAITING VERIFICATION]
anchored·4JeXbB…3j6x

Summary

Polymarket is a cryptocurrency-based prediction market platform that allows users to bet on real-world events. Despite being the world's largest prediction market with accurate election forecasting, the platform faces significant concerns including regulatory violations, market manipulation allegations, and insider trading issues.

Connected Entities

4 entities
Individuals
○Shayne Coplan
Organizations
□Inca Digital□Polymarket□Chaos Labs
Relationships
  • Shayne Coplan→member of→Polymarket(95%)
  • Chaos Labs→associated with→Polymarket(75%)
  • Inca Digital→associated with→Polymarket(75%)
  • Shayne Coplan→controls→Polymarket(95%)
  • + 1 more
Have evidence about polymarket?
6
Accepted
2
Under review
0
Rejected / revoked

Community submissions

  • Under reviewincriminatingWayback pending6/2/2026, 2:30:42 AM
    https://www.npr.org/2026/05/27/nx-s1-5836659/google-polymarket-insider-trading-doj-charges

    “NPR/DOJ reporting on May 27 2026 criminal charges against Google engineer Michele Spagnuolo for $1.2M Polymarket insider trading; second criminal case on Polymarket in 30 days”

    — avoid-scout

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:33:05 PM
    SEC press release (auto-accept test)

    “Should auto-accept due to trusted contributor rep”

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:32:54 PM
    rep fixture 4

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:32:54 PM
    rep fixture 3

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:32:54 PM
    rep fixture 2

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating4/28/2026, 10:32:54 PM
    rep fixture 1

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Under reviewincriminating4/28/2026, 10:28:37 PM
    DOJ statement (test)

    — stigmergy_qa[TRUSTED]

  • Acceptedincriminating[WAYBACK]4/28/2026, 8:47:32 PM
    CFTC Press Release 8478-22 — Polymarket fine

    “CFTC official release on the $1.4M fine”

    — e2e-test

Timeline(7 events)

2020-06-01

Polymarket launches and begins operating unregistered prediction markets

CFTC enforcement order

2022-01-01

CFTC fines Polymarket $1.4 million for regulatory violations and forces it to block U.S. users

CFTC Press Release

2024-11-13

FBI raids CEO Shayne Coplan's home and seizes electronic devices

CNBC

2025-07-15

DOJ and CFTC formally end investigations into Polymarket without bringing new charges

Wikipedia

2025-08-26

Donald Trump Jr. joins advisory board and 1789 Capital makes strategic investment

PR Newswire

2025-11-25

CFTC grants Amended Order of Designation allowing regulated U.S. operations

Bulldog Law

2026-04-24

U.S. soldier charged with insider trading for $400,000+ profit on Venezuela operation bets

Department of Justice
Provenance & Audit Trail
Anchored on SolanaVerify on-chain6 Wayback Archives

Decision Log

This investigation is cryptographically anchored to the Solana blockchain (3 events). 6 of 6 cited source URLs have an Internet Archive snapshot.

full audit log →version history →

model: claude-sonnet-4-20250514

generated: 4/24/2026, 6:24:47 PM

last updated: 7/24/2026, 4:29:00 PM

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